Weekly Market Analysis & Trade Ideas by Nial Fuller – Feb. 27th to March 3rd 2017

EURUSD – Euro/dollar bears remain in control

The EURUSD fell lower again last week as price continues to trend lower, however, it is still trading just above 1.0520 support area; a level price will need to break under to extend the downtrend. We can see that there was a bearish daily tailed bar that formed on Friday, signaling potential for prices to move lower. We still favor the downside whilst prices are contained under 1.0800 – 1.0875 area resistance and traders can continue to look to be sellers on strength this week.

USDJPY – Dollar/yen continues to lose ground
In the USDJPY last week, price sold off from 115.30 after testing that area two weeks ago, as we discussed as a possibility in our recent commentaries on this pair. Price closed under 112.50 last week, opening the door for more downside movement. There is now short-term resistance at 113.70 (last week’s swing high). Look to sell strength this week whilst under 113.70 and expect the market to rotate lower mid-term, whilst below 115.30 major resistance. Target areas are at 111.60 and 110.60 this week.

AUDUSD – Aussie/dollar pushing higher, but approaching key resistance
The AUDUSD was seen consolidating last week, within the current swing higher, but price looks to be struggling near overhead resistance at 0.7730-80. We are continuing to watch for buying opportunities between 0.7600 support and 0.7515. Price could test 0.7730 – 0.7780 key resistance area this week, but it will need to gain momentum if it’s going to breakout convincingly. Traders should be careful committing to longs around that major resistance area this week and should instead wait for a pullback to support before looking to buy.

Gold – Gold uptrend intact

Gold has moved higher since our February 14th commentary, in which we discussed looking to buy on pullbacks. We can see that price broke up through 1250.00 last week, closing the week above that level. Our recent call of looking to buy pullbacks whilst the market is above 1200-1220 support remains; we will watch for any weakness this week and look at the 1hr, 4hr or daily charts for price action buy signals to trade in-line with the uptrend, targeting 1300.00. Stay tuned to our members daily trade setups commentary for updates on Gold throughout the week.